Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
68.97%
decreased by 5.49%
1 Week
68.40%
decreased by 6.06%
1 Month
66.53%
decreased by 7.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4350 | 12.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1578 | 9.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8309 | 97.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0403 | -1.64 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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