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Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

89.00%

increased by 3.91%

1 Week

88.11%

increased by 3.02%

1 Month

84.95%

decreased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3548
2.99***
αARCH0.1508
2.79***
βGARCH0.8504
29.18***
γleverage-0.0452
-0.54

0.979

Persistence

32d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3548
2.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1508
2.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8504
29.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0452
-0.54

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days