V-Lab
Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
89.00%
increased by 3.91%
1 Week
88.11%
increased by 3.02%
1 Month
84.95%
decreased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3548 | 2.99*** |
| αARCH | 0.1508 | 2.79*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8504 | 29.18*** |
| γleverage | -0.0452 | -0.54 |
0.979
Persistence32d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3548 | 2.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1508 | 2.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8504 | 29.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0452 | -0.54 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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