V-Lab
Ever Ohms Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
80.28%
decreased by 1.96%
1 Week
79.94%
decreased by 2.30%
1 Month
78.65%
decreased by 3.59%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1206 | 26.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8658 | 120.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0054 | 0.46 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 15.4975 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
63 days
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