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V-Lab

Ever Ohms Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

100.80%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

101.33%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

103.32%

increased by 2.32%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ever Ohms Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 3, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

73.3256
6.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1596
36.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9936
1,021.13***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5899
27.21***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days