V-Lab
Ever Ohms Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
107.02%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
113.79%
increased by 6.24%
1 Month
116.32%
increased by 8.77%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6148 | 5.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1889 | 2.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2288 | 1.08 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 33.7855 | 2.66*** |
| γ2 | -43.8141 | -2.21** |
| γ3 | 30.9269 | 2.17** |
| γ4 | -57.0209 | -4.04*** |
| γ5 | 72.8341 | 5.20*** |
| γ6 | -49.8585 | -3.98*** |
| γ7 | 17.8107 | 1.45 |
| γ8 | -10.9931 | -1.33 |
Persistence:
0.418
Half-life:
1 days
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