V-Lab
Apaq Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
87.42%
decreased by 7.72%
1 Week
84.65%
decreased by 10.49%
1 Month
81.15%
decreased by 13.99%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1302 | 17.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7217 | 49.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0184 | -1.45 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7437 | 0.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7846 | 0.52 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.843
Half-life:
4 days
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