V-Lab
Apaq Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
202.34%
decreased by 8.07%
1 Week
200.72%
decreased by 9.69%
1 Month
194.52%
decreased by 15.89%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 72 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.46 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 26.1140 | 4.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1106 | 84.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9904 | 450.60*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.4643 | 134.78*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
72 days
Other Apaq Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities