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V-Lab

Apaq Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

202.34%

decreased by 8.07%

1 Week

200.72%

decreased by 9.69%

1 Month

194.52%

decreased by 15.89%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Apaq Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 72 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.46 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

26.1140
4.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1106
84.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9904
450.60***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.4643
134.78***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

72 days