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V-Lab

Apaq Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

86.16%

decreased by 4.83%

1 Week

82.15%

decreased by 8.84%

1 Month

73.60%

decreased by 17.39%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Apaq Technology Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1773
2.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1325
5.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7487
14.35***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.3828
1.90*
γ2-2.1665
-2.11**
γ31.6067
2.45**
γ4-1.8077
-2.63***
γ51.9950
2.63***
γ6-2.1472
-3.31***
γ71.8170
2.91***
γ8-0.3164
-0.51
γ9-0.7564
-1.48
γ100.3567
1.04

Persistence:

0.881

Half-life:

5 days