V-Lab
Apaq Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
91.25%
decreased by 3.51%
1 Week
89.05%
decreased by 5.71%
1 Month
81.48%
decreased by 13.28%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 27, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2585 | 15.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1166 | 15.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8584 | 184.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0150 | -1.19 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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