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V-Lab

Hevol Services Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

63.22%

decreased by 2.76%

1 Week

66.45%

increased by 0.47%

1 Month

72.19%

increased by 6.21%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hevol Services Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1068
7.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7639
35.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0288
-1.96*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7901
1.51
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8479
1.75*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.856

Half-life:

4 days