V-Lab
Hevol Services Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
63.22%
decreased by 2.76%
1 Week
66.45%
increased by 0.47%
1 Month
72.19%
increased by 6.21%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1068 | 7.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7639 | 35.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0288 | -1.96* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7901 | 1.51 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8479 | 1.75* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.856
Half-life:
4 days
Other Hevol Services Group Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities