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Hevol Services Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

102.89%

increased by 8.74%

1 Week

98.05%

increased by 3.90%

1 Month

90.16%

decreased by 3.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hevol Services Group Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2019 to Sep 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow91
αARCH0.1154
3.19***
βGARCH0.7466
14.79***
γleverage-0.0346
-0.50
λ₁tau intercept1.7409
1.68*
λ₂forecast adj.0.8681
3.65***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.845

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1154
3.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7466
14.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0346
-0.50
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.7409
1.68*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8681
3.65***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.845

Half-life:

4 days