V-Lab
Zhejiang Jianfeng Group MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.51%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
36.39%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Month
37.09%
decreased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 28, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 37% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1357 | 25.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6145 | 42.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0496 | 6.16*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0965 | 2.67*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0838 | 3.60*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9076 | 35.46*** |
Persistence:
0.775
Half-life:
3 days
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