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V-Lab

Yunnan Chihong Zinc & Germanium Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

45.32%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

47.70%

increased by 1.64%

1 Month

49.78%

increased by 3.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yunnan Chihong Zinc & Germanium Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 20, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.1585
6.10***
βGARCH0.7007
16.15***
γleverage-0.0480
-1.66*
λ₁tau intercept0.1037
1.50
λ₂forecast adj.0.0594
3.09***
λ₃tau persistence0.9300
36.97***

0.835

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1585
6.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7007
16.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0480
-1.66*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1037
1.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0594
3.09***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9300
36.97***

Persistence:

0.835

Half-life:

4 days