V-Lab
Fujipream Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
34.44%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
39.63%
increased by 4.44%
1 Month
46.77%
increased by 11.58%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 23% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1984 | 17.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6231 | 43.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0453 | 2.22** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1109 | 0.69 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0046 | 0.91 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9852 | 52.10*** |
Persistence:
0.844
Half-life:
4 days
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