V-Lab
Fujipream Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.92%
decreased by 1.81%
1 Week
41.52%
increased by 2.79%
1 Month
47.96%
increased by 9.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 23% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1985 | 17.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6210 | 43.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0458 | 2.23** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1160 | 0.67 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0048 | 0.88 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9847 | 48.06*** |
Persistence:
0.842
Half-life:
4 days
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