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V-Lab

Fujipream Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

34.44%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Week

39.63%

increased by 4.44%

1 Month

46.77%

increased by 11.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fujipream Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 23% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1984
17.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6231
43.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0453
2.22**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1109
0.69
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0046
0.91
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9852
52.10***

Persistence:

0.844

Half-life:

4 days