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V-Lab

Fujipream Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.92%

decreased by 1.81%

1 Week

41.52%

increased by 2.79%

1 Month

47.96%

increased by 9.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fujipream Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 23% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1985
17.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6210
43.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0458
2.23**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1160
0.67
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0048
0.88
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9847
48.06***

Persistence:

0.842

Half-life:

4 days