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V-Lab

Fujipream Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

30.04%

decreased by 2.72%

1 Week

34.67%

increased by 1.91%

1 Month

44.83%

increased by 12.07%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fujipream Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.80 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.6346
5.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1593
26.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9370
75.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7997
25.06***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days