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V-Lab

Fujipream Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

34.73%

decreased by 4.89%

1 Week

38.39%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Month

46.84%

increased by 7.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fujipream Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.7712
5.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1593
26.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9372
75.29***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7936
25.12***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days