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V-Lab

Katakura Chikkarin Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

45.11%

increased by 8.87%

1 Week

42.25%

increased by 6.01%

1 Month

38.05%

increased by 1.81%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Katakura Chikkarin Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1243
15.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4279
26.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0719
5.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7543
1.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7858
3.23***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0659
0.18

Persistence:

0.588

Half-life:

1 days