V-Lab
Katakura Chikkarin Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.54%
increased by 3.63%
1 Week
35.55%
increased by 3.64%
1 Month
35.61%
increased by 3.70%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0765 | 15.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0650 | 16.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9145 | 245.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0115 | 1.61 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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