V-Lab
Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.86%
decreased by 1.10%
1 Week
31.45%
increased by 1.49%
1 Month
32.55%
increased by 2.59%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 267% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0763 | 7.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2996 | 6.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2037 | 9.67*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.0766 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0476 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.478
Half-life:
1 days
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