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V-Lab

Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

28.89%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

31.52%

increased by 2.10%

1 Month

32.64%

increased by 3.22%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2016 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 266% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0761
7.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2960
6.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2027
9.51***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.0703
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0513
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.474

Half-life:

1 days