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V-Lab

Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

31.82%

decreased by 6.97%

1 Week

32.44%

decreased by 6.35%

1 Month

32.71%

decreased by 6.08%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 311% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0693
6.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2945
6.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2157
9.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.0189
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0592
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.472

Half-life:

1 days