V-Lab
Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
31.82%
decreased by 6.97%
1 Week
32.44%
decreased by 6.35%
1 Month
32.71%
decreased by 6.08%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 2016 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 311% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0693 | 6.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2945 | 6.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2157 | 9.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.0189 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0592 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.472
Half-life:
1 days
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