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V-Lab

Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.86%

decreased by 1.10%

1 Week

31.45%

increased by 1.49%

1 Month

32.55%

increased by 2.59%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 267% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0763
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2996
6.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2037
9.67***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.0766
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0476
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.478

Half-life:

1 days