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V-Lab

Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.87%

decreased by 2.61%

1 Week

39.74%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

40.43%

increased by 0.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 21, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2309
6.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1759
3.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0208
0.25
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ12.1241
2.99***
γ2-3.3549
-3.07***
γ32.1099
2.75***
γ4-1.8522
-2.29**
γ51.8217
2.12**
γ6-1.3550
-1.92*
γ70.7543
1.10
γ8-0.4959
-0.69
γ90.8426
1.32
γ10-0.9953
-1.98**

Persistence:

0.197

Half-life:

0 days