V-Lab
Kusuri No Aoki Holdings Co MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
31.58%
decreased by 1.78%
1 Week
31.68%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Month
31.81%
decreased by 1.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 21, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7301 | 10.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2533 | 15.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5658 | 48.84*** |
Persistence:
0.819
Half-life:
3 days
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