V-Lab
Guoxia Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
79.53%
increased by 0.57%
1 Week
80.15%
increased by 1.19%
1 Month
71.40%
decreased by 7.56%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6855 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0806 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8569 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.685
Half-life:
2 days
Other Guoxia Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities