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V-Lab

Guoxia Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

95.35%

increased by 13.16%

1 Week

98.34%

increased by 16.15%

1 Month

104.45%

increased by 22.26%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guoxia Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1498
5.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7135
21.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0668
0.95

Persistence:

0.897

Half-life:

6 days