V-Lab
Guoxia Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
95.35%
increased by 13.16%
1 Week
98.34%
increased by 16.15%
1 Month
104.45%
increased by 22.26%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1498 | 5.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7135 | 21.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0668 | 0.95 |
Persistence:
0.897
Half-life:
6 days
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