Guoxia Technology Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
84.44%
decreased by 12.69%
1 Week
88.06%
decreased by 9.07%
1 Month
94.51%
decreased by 2.62%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.47** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3088 | 4.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5641 | 17.15*** |
Persistence:
0.873
Half-life:
5 days
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