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V-Lab

Guoxia Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

104.66%

increased by 22.10%

1 Week

108.22%

increased by 25.66%

1 Month

113.45%

increased by 30.89%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guoxia Technology Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.95 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

53.9560
3.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2128
3.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8298
15.99***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.9497
1.08

Persistence:

0.830

Half-life:

4 days