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V-Lab

Chinyang Poly Urethane Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

63.73%

decreased by 4.60%

1 Week

69.65%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

79.24%

increased by 10.91%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chinyang Poly Urethane Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.2810
6.50***
βGARCH0.6164
18.83***
γleverage-0.0782
-1.55
λ₁tau intercept0.1016
1.81*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0578
3.57***
λ₃tau persistence0.9370
50.55***

0.858

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2810
6.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6164
18.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0782
-1.55
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1016
1.81*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0578
3.57***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9370
50.55***

Persistence:

0.858

Half-life:

5 days