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V-Lab

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

130,764.40

decreased by 527.40

1 Week

151,852.90

increased by 20,561.10

1 Month

547,591.50

increased by 416,299.70

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2157
2.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4986
5.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4165
5.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ16.6449
0.91
γ28.2192
0.68
γ3-21.1415
-1.93*
γ4-19.7630
-1.49

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days