V-Lab
Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
130,764.40
decreased by 527.40
1 Week
151,852.90
increased by 20,561.10
1 Month
547,591.50
increased by 416,299.70
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2157 | 2.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4986 | 5.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4165 | 5.63*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 6.6449 | 0.91 |
| γ2 | 8.2192 | 0.68 |
| γ3 | -21.1415 | -1.93* |
| γ4 | -19.7630 | -1.49 |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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