V-Lab
Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
9,944,389.00
1 Week
10,526,663.00
1 Month
8,690,470.50
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 122 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 96 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1012 | 2.27** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9437 | 316.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1012 | -1.27 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 2.80*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0003 | 2.90*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4409 | 25.19*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
122 days
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