Skip to main content
V-Lab

Willis Lease Finance Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

12,450.74

increased by 11,551.27

1 Week

3,221.92

increased by 2,322.45

1 Month

1,236.02

increased by 336.55

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Willis Lease Finance Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8716
4.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1327
9.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8337
45.77***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.0977
1.98**
γ2-0.2770
-3.89***
γ30.2309
4.40***
γ4-0.0494
-1.06
γ50.0546
1.41
γ6-0.1012
-2.72***
γ7-0.1296
-2.16**

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days