Willis Lease Finance Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
15,253.06
1 Week
4,113.96
1 Month
1,756.20
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 18, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1493 | 0.29 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8187 | 26.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0281 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0867 | 0.77 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9133 | 5.12*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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