Zeta Network Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
294,590.00
decreased by 9,675.40
1 Week
305,756.10
increased by 1,490.70
1 Month
379,109.22
increased by 74,843.82
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2009 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 6134 trading days (~24.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1149 | 1.92* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1913 | 13.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8086 | 55.07*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0068 | -0.05 |
| γ2 | -0.3095 | -1.63 |
| γ3 | 0.5245 | 4.18*** |
| γ4 | -0.1415 | -0.71 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
6134 days
Other Zeta Network Group Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities