Zeta Network Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
338,682.50
increased by 64,662.30
1 Week
324,234.42
increased by 50,214.22
1 Month
360,989.24
increased by 86,969.04
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 6134 trading days (~24.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1150 | 1.92* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1913 | 13.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8086 | 54.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -0.0065 | -0.05 |
| γ2 | -0.3092 | -1.61 |
| γ3 | 0.5179 | 4.09*** |
| γ4 | -0.1224 | -0.61 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
6134 days
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