Zeta Network Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
308,306.40
1 Week
344,649.68
1 Month
414,415.49
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2009 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1666 | 1.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8591 | 209.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0947 | -1.61 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2240 | 1.17 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 1.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3716 | 10.88*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
32 days
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