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V-Lab

Laundry You PCL Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

7,025.68

increased by 2,187.73

1 Week

4,980.16

increased by 142.21

1 Month

3,409.67

decreased by 1,428.28

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Laundry You PCL ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9603
8.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1944
2.08**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3166
1.08
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-5.1617
-2.91***

Persistence:

0.511

Half-life:

1 days