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Laundry You PCL ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

11,059.23

increased by 5,475.95

1 Week

7,001.86

increased by 1,418.58

1 Month

3,644.64

decreased by 1,938.64

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Laundry You PCL ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4224
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0148
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0087
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0149
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4479
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5436

Persistence:

0.442

Half-life:

1 days