V-Lab
Laundry You PCL ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
11,059.23
1 Week
7,001.86
1 Month
3,644.64
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4224 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0148 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0087 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0149 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4479 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5436 |
Persistence:
0.442
Half-life:
1 days
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