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V-Lab

Vung Tau Real Estate Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4,180.71

increased by 2,915.74

1 Week

1,961.84

increased by 696.87

1 Month

1,477.92

increased by 212.95

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vung Tau Real Estate ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 27, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3348 trading days (~13.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7086
2.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1675
2.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8323
13.07***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.7644
0.38
γ2-3.9284
-1.27
γ36.5541
4.03***
γ4-8.4712
-11.44***
γ59.5216
12.22***
γ6-5.3255
-5.26***
γ70.4705
0.34
γ80.9971
0.59
γ9-0.6121
-0.42
γ100.4992
0.40

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3348 days