V-Lab
Vung Tau Real Estate ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
6,472.09
1 Week
2,155.69
1 Month
1,338.29
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 27, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 549 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3216 | 0.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8380 | 8.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3216 | -0.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0819 | 0.52 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9181 | 3.34*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
549 days
Other Vung Tau Real Estate Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities