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Vraj Iron And Steel Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,061.90

decreased by 20.87

1 Week

4,732.45

increased by 649.68

1 Month

5,406.87

increased by 1,324.10

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vraj Iron And Steel Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 55 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9124
2.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1506
5.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8369
25.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.4783
-0.96

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

55 days