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Vraj Iron And Steel Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,501.92

increased by 55.61

1 Week

4,920.28

increased by 473.97

1 Month

5,503.23

increased by 1,056.92

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:53 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vraj Iron And Steel Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 264 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 216% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8193
0.86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0419
5.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9101
177.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0907
6.37***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

264 days