V-Lab
Vraj Iron And Steel Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,501.92
increased by 55.61
1 Week
4,920.28
increased by 473.97
1 Month
5,503.23
increased by 1,056.92
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:53 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 264 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 216% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.8193 | 0.86 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0419 | 5.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9101 | 177.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0907 | 6.37*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
264 days
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