V-Lab
Vietnam Sun Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
6,885.57
increased by 2,612.78
1 Week
4,658.53
increased by 385.74
1 Month
4,964.91
increased by 692.12
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4127 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1176 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8824 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 1.4351 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -3.0831 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 1.8863 | 0.06 |
| γ4 | -1.5024 | -0.02 |
| γ5 | 3.6291 | 0.01 |
| γ6 | -3.0230 | -0.01 |
| γ7 | -0.4627 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | 1.9149 | 0.19 |
| γ9 | 0.0966 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
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