V-Lab
Vietnam Sun Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
7,623.08
1 Week
4,865.95
1 Month
5,769.93
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 274 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1491 | 0.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9229 | 115.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1491 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.17 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9478 | 15.18*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
274 days
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