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V-Lab

Vietnam Sun Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

7,623.08

increased by 3,345.89

1 Week

4,865.95

increased by 588.76

1 Month

5,769.93

increased by 1,492.74

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vietnam Sun Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 274 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1491
0.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9229
115.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1491
-0.07
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9478
15.18***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

274 days