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V-Lab

Vestum Ab (Publ) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

1,208.49

decreased by 3.79

1 Week

1,422.73

increased by 210.45

1 Month

1,353.53

increased by 141.25

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vestum Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 19, 2008 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 417 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7362
3.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2293
6.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7691
22.78***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-4.6223
-1.84*
γ26.5877
1.40
γ35.1270
0.76
γ4-13.5340
-1.72*
γ57.5189
1.73*
γ6-2.4768
-1.26
γ72.1743
1.21
γ8-0.1659
-0.12
γ9-0.8233
-1.24
γ10-0.2483
-0.44

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

417 days