Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Velocity Financial Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,216.52

decreased by 287.38

1 Week

4,931.59

increased by 427.69

1 Month

4,592.86

increased by 88.96

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Velocity Financial Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2020 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 57 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3274
6.42***
αARCH0.1504
6.39***
βGARCH0.8376
35.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2243
-4.76***

0.988

Persistence

57d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3274
6.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1504
6.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8376
35.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2243
-4.76***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days