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Ufo Moviez India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

7,118.57

decreased by 203.95

1 Week

5,985.40

decreased by 1,337.12

1 Month

4,478.27

decreased by 2,844.25

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ufo Moviez India Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 14, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 94 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4191
6.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1587
12.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8340
62.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0041
0.27

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

94 days