V-Lab
Ufo Moviez India Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
7,118.57
decreased by 203.95
1 Week
5,985.40
decreased by 1,337.12
1 Month
4,478.27
decreased by 2,844.25
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 14, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 94 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4191 | 6.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1587 | 12.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8340 | 62.76*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0041 | 0.27 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
94 days
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