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Ufo Moviez India Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

7,186.44

decreased by 537.07

1 Week

6,046.67

decreased by 1,676.84

1 Month

4,762.77

decreased by 2,960.74

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ufo Moviez India Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 14, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 128 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 99% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
4.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0937
19.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8545
325.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0929
11.82***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

128 days