V-Lab
Ufo Moviez India Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
7,186.44
decreased by 537.07
1 Week
6,046.67
decreased by 1,676.84
1 Month
4,762.77
decreased by 2,960.74
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 14, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 128 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 99% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0937 | 19.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8545 | 325.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0929 | 11.82*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
128 days
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