Skip to main content
V-Lab

Troax Group AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

4,351.02

increased by 555.02

1 Week

3,829.88

increased by 33.88

1 Month

4,251.54

increased by 455.54

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Troax Group AB ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 27, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 20 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5381
10.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1091
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8565
45.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0165
3.55***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days