V-Lab
Troax Group AB ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,218.94
1 Week
3,723.83
1 Month
4,058.67
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 27, 2015 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1035 | 1.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8118 | 34.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1035 | -0.50 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.96*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0358 | 2.28** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9596 | 43.00*** |
Persistence:
0.864
Half-life:
5 days
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