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Tecnicas Reunidas SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

5,869.69

decreased by 412.19

1 Week

5,717.70

decreased by 564.18

1 Month

4,695.11

decreased by 1,586.77

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tecnicas Reunidas SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2006 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 141 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~141 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1591
7.31***
αARCH0.0898
13.20***
βGARCH0.9053
129.94***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0046
1.98**

0.995

Persistence

141d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1591
7.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0898
13.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9053
129.94***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0046
1.98**

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

141 days