Tecnicas Reunidas SA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
4,762.94
decreased by 324.41
1 Week
4,877.19
decreased by 210.16
1 Month
4,197.83
decreased by 889.52
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2006 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 384 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 115% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~384 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 115% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.9992 | 1.69* |
| αARCH | 0.0496 | 5.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9201 | 151.39*** |
| γleverage | 0.0570 | 3.49*** |
0.998
Persistence384d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.9992 | 1.69* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0496 | 5.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9201 | 151.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0570 | 3.49*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
384 days
Other Tecnicas Reunidas SA Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities