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Grupo Traxion S A B De Cv Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

12,465.02

increased by 8,778.29

1 Week

4,723.11

increased by 1,036.38

1 Month

2,234.70

decreased by 1,452.03

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Grupo Traxion S A B De Cv ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2017 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3010
3.76***
αARCH0.1406
5.41***
βGARCH0.7875
21.35***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.1721
-2.36**
γ20.2965
3.11***
γ3-0.0444
-0.57

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3010
3.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1406
5.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7875
21.35***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.1721
-2.36**
γ20.2965
3.11***
γ3-0.0444
-0.57

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days