Tokyo Cement Co (Lanka) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
3,135.15
increased by 794.14
1 Week
2,971.83
increased by 630.82
1 Month
3,555.37
increased by 1,214.36
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4126 trading days (~16.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2582 | 3.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1386 | 4.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8612 | 27.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.8531 | -1.16 |
| γ2 | 2.1341 | 0.91 |
| γ3 | 1.5350 | 0.94 |
| γ4 | -8.6496 | -3.35*** |
| γ5 | 16.4802 | 3.89*** |
| γ6 | -15.3484 | -3.88*** |
| γ7 | 5.4512 | 2.83*** |
| γ8 | 1.3793 | 0.59 |
| γ9 | 1.7333 | 0.64 |
| γ10 | -6.5107 | -1.14 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4126 days
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