V-Lab
Tokyo Cement Co (Lanka) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
15,230.62
decreased by 895.45
1 Week
9,183.96
decreased by 6,942.11
1 Month
5,867.43
decreased by 10,258.64
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4101 trading days (~16.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2586 | 3.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1391 | 4.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8608 | 27.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.8519 | -1.16 |
| γ2 | 2.1307 | 0.91 |
| γ3 | 1.5401 | 0.94 |
| γ4 | -8.6672 | -3.37*** |
| γ5 | 16.5246 | 3.91*** |
| γ6 | -15.4095 | -3.90*** |
| γ7 | 5.3657 | 2.80*** |
| γ8 | 1.6437 | 0.68 |
| γ9 | 1.3768 | 0.52 |
| γ10 | -4.8923 | -1.01 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4101 days
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