Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tokyo Cement Co (Lanka) Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

15,230.62

decreased by 895.45

1 Week

9,183.96

decreased by 6,942.11

1 Month

5,867.43

decreased by 10,258.64

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tokyo Cement Co (Lanka) Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 11, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4101 trading days (~16.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2586
3.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1391
4.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8608
27.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8519
-1.16
γ22.1307
0.91
γ31.5401
0.94
γ4-8.6672
-3.37***
γ516.5246
3.91***
γ6-15.4095
-3.90***
γ75.3657
2.80***
γ81.6437
0.68
γ91.3768
0.52
γ10-4.8923
-1.01

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

4101 days