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V-Lab

Titan SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

3,776.31

decreased by 375.62

1 Week

4,549.58

increased by 397.65

1 Month

4,355.95

increased by 204.02

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 05:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Titan SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4245
8.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0856
5.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8897
42.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0966
-7.40***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days