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Titan SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

4,571.98

decreased by 382.15

1 Week

5,322.29

increased by 368.16

1 Month

5,084.02

increased by 129.89

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 05:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Titan SA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0816
2.28**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9056
98.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0816
-2.33**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9984
314.07***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days