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Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/Fund Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

17,678.00

increased by 939.62

1 Week

28,691.53

increased by 11,953.15

1 Month

223,864.36

increased by 207,125.98

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 31 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0550
2.02**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2310
5.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7470
19.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-1.5259
-5.62***
γ22.4644
5.42***
γ3-1.2692
-4.11***
γ40.4440
2.03**
γ5-0.1616
-0.50
γ60.2826
0.82
γ7-0.2030
-0.41
γ8-3.3355
-2.04**

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days